Change in Average Stand Age
Summary of the changes in average stand age in Tolko's Northern Operating Area between 2010 and 2021 and following the 2023 fires.
Change in average stand age (2010–2023):
2010
2021
2023
- Most of the decrease in age between 2010 to 2021 was due to forestry.
- The fires in 2023 brought the average age down significantly, with comparable declines across stand types.
Introduction
The average age of forests is a useful indicator of the balance between disturbance rates and aging of forest stands.
- Average age in a natural environment is expected to stay roughly constant over time, as aging of undisturbed stands balances the loss of age when burned stands are reset to 0 years.
- Forest harvest may substitute for fire in areas with effective fire suppression, although harvest affects older stands, while a broader age range can burn.
In this section, we report the average age of different stands types in Tolko’s Northern Operating Area in 2010, 2021, and after the 2023 fires.
Results
Change in Stand Age
The average age of all forested stands in Tolko's Northern Operating Area was:
2010
2021
2023
Highlights
- The average age of all stands in Tolko’s Northern Operating Area dropped from 86 to 83 years from 2010 to 2021.
- Aging of natural stands and a smaller component of aging in harvest areas was almost completely offset by decreases in age due to fires during this timeframe. New forestry dropped the average age 3.8 years, while non-forestry human footprint had a very small effect, bringing the average forest age to 83 years.
- Due to the 2023 fires, which burned 13.6% of Tolko’s Northern Operating Area (see Section 2.4), the average age of the forest dropped substantially, to 71 years.
- While variation in average stand ages is natural, continued declines in average age of stands would eventually compromise the ability to maintain species that require older forest.
Average Age of Forest Stands
Graph Interpretation
For different stand types from 2010 to 2021:
- Deciduous stands showed a small increase in average age as aging outweighed disturbance.
- White Spruce and mixedwood had larger declines in average age, due primarily to forestry.
- Pine had a modest decline, from a mix of fire and forestry.
- In treed lowlands, fires resulted in about a 11-year drop between 2010 and 2021, similar to the drop from the 2023 fires.
All stand types then lost 11–12.5 years of average age after the 2023 fires.